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Valerie Mueller

Valerie Mueller

Associate Professor, School of Politics and Global Studies, College of Liberal Arts and Sciences

School of Politics and Global Studies
Arizona State University
PO Box 873902
Tempe, AZ 85287-3902


  • Senior Global Futures Scientist, Julie Ann Wrigley Global Futures Laboratory
  • Associate Professor, School of Politics and Global Studies, College of Liberal Arts and Sciences


Valerie Mueller is currently an associate professor in the School of Politics and Global Studies. Prior to joining Arizona State University, she was a senior research fellow at the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) in Washington, D.C. Mueller’s research falls largely into three main themes. The first quantifies rural household vulnerability to climate variability, focusing on migration, nutrition, and health markers in Africa and Asia. The second area of research uses randomized controlled trials to identify mechanisms to improve the delivery of rural services (legal justice for women, agricultural extension, and the equitable allocation of irrigation water) in East African countries. Her third area of research is on the prospects of youth employment in Africa. She is currently co-editing a volume, which studies the evolution of youth employment and its role in the structural transformation process in Africa.

Her research contributions have been featured in Nature Climate Change, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, American Economic Review, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, and the Journal of Development Economics, and have received significant media coverage in over 15 major media outlets (including Le Monde, Science, and Scientific American). Despite her presence in the research community, she remains involved in the field and aims to provide relevant technical expertise by repeated interaction with donor communities, local policymakers, and government officials.


  • PhD, Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of Maryland-College Park, 2005
  • MS, Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of Maryland-College Park, 2001
  • BS, Environmental Economics and Policy, University of California-Berkeley, 1998


External Links

Journal Articles


Baez, J., G. Caruso, V. Mueller and C. Niu. 2017. Droughts augment youth migration in Northern Latin America and the Caribbean. Climatic Change 140(3-4):423-435. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1863-2. (link )

Baez, J., G. Caruso, V. Mueller and C. Niu. 2017. Heat exposure and youth migration in Central America and the Caribbean. American Economic Review 107(5):446-508. DOI: 10.1257/aer.p20171053. (link )

Chen, J. J., V. Mueller, Y. Jia and S. K. Tseng. 2017. Validating migration response to flooding using satellite and vital registration data. American Economic Review 107(5):441-445. DOI: 10.1257/aer.p20171052. (link )

Kondylis, F., V. Mueller and J. Zhu. 2017. Seeing is believing? Evidence from an extension network experiment. Journal of Development Economics 125(Mar):1-20. DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2016.10.004. (link )


Kondylis, F., V. Mueller, G. Sheriff and S. Zhu. 2016. Do female instructors reduce gender bias in diffusion of sustainable land management techniques? Experimental evidence from Mozambique. World Development 78(Feb):436-449. DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2015.10.036. (link )

Maystadt, J., V. Mueller and A. Sebastian. 2016. Environmental management and labor markets in Nepal. Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists 3(2):417-452. DOI: 10.1086/684579. (link )

Thiede, B., C. Gray and V. Mueller. 2016. Climate variability and inter-provincial migration in South America, 1970-2011. Global Environmental Change 41(Nov):228-240. DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.10.005. (link )


Kondylis, F., V. Mueller and S. Zhu. 2015. Measuring agricultural knowledge and adoption. Agricultural Economics 46(3):449-462. DOI: 10.1111/agec.12173. (link )


de Brauw, A., V. Mueller and H. L. Lee. 2014. The rule of rural-urban migration in the structural transformation of sub-Saharan Africa. World Development 63(Nov):33-42. DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2013.10.013. (link )

Mueller, V., C. Gray and K. Kosec. 2014. Heat stress increases long-term human migration in rural Pakistan. Nature Climate Change 4:182-185. DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2103. (link )

Mueller, V., A. Quisumbing, H. L. Lee and K. Droppelmann. 2014. Resettlement for food security's sake: Insights from a Malawi land reform project. Land Economics 90(2):222-236. DOI: 10.3368/le.90.2.222. (link )


de Brauw, A. and V. Mueller. 2013. Motives to remit: Evidence from tracked internal migrants in Ethiopia. World Development 50(Oct):13-23. DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2013.04.008. (link )

Mueller, V., A. Pfaff, J. Peabody, Y. Liu and K. R. Smith. 2013. Improving stove evaluation using survey data: Who received which intervention matters. Ecological Economics 93(Sep):301-312. DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2013.06.001. (link )


de Brauw, A. and V. Mueller. 2012. Do limitations in land rights transferability influence mobility rates in Ethiopia?. Journal of African Economies 21(4):548-579. DOI: 10.1093/jae/ejs007. (link )

Gray, C. and V. Mueller. 2012. Drought and population mobility in rural Ethiopia. 40(1):134-145. DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2011.05.023. (link )

Gray, C. L. and V. Mueller. 2012. Natural disasters and population mobility in Bangladesh. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 109(16):6000-6005. DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1115944109. (link )


Dillon, A., V. Mueller and S. Salau. 2011. Migratory responses to agricultural risk in northern Nigeria. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 93(4):1048-1061. DOI: 10.1093/ajae/aar033. (link )

Mueller, V., A. Pfaff, J. Peabody, Y. Liu and K. R. Smith. 2011. Demonstrating bias and improved inference for stoves' health benefits. International Journal of Epidemiology 40(6):1643-1651. DOI: 10.1093/ije/dyr150. (link )

Mueller, V. and A. Quisumbing. 2011. How resilient are labour markets to natural disasters? The case of the 1998 Bangladesh flood. The Journal of Development Studies 47(12):1954-1971. DOI: 10.1080/00220388.2011.579113. (link )

Mueller, V. and A. Shariff. 2011. Preliminary evidence on internal migration, remittances, and teen schooling in India. Contemporary Economic Policy 29(2):207-217. DOI: 10.1111/j.1465-7287.2010.00211.x. (link )


Mueller, V. and G. Sheriff. 2010. On hedonic valuation of urban amenities using unbalanced data. Land Economics 86(3):545-551. DOI: 10.3368/le.86.3.545. (link )


Mueller, V. and D. E. Osgood. 2009. Long-term consequences of short-term precipitation shocks: Evidence from Braziliam migrant households. Agricultural Economics 40(5):573-586. DOI: 10.1111/j.1574-0862.2009.00399.x. (link )

Mueller, V. and D. E. Osgood. 2009. Long-term impacts of droughts on labour markets in developing countries: Evidence from Brazil. The Journal of Development Studies 45(10):1651-1662. DOI: 10.1080/00220380902935865. (link )

Book Chapters


Kondylis, F. and V. Mueller. 2015. The economic consequences of conflict and environmental displacement. Pp. 322-424 In: Lucas, R. E. ed., International Handbook on Migration and Economic Development. Edward Elgar Publishing. Cheltenham, UK. ISBN: 978 1 78254 806 5.


Pankhurst, A., M. Dessalegn, V. Mueller and M. Hailemariam. 2013. Migration and resettlement in Ethiopia: Reflections on trends and implications for food security. Pp. Chapter 14 In: Rahmato, D., A. Pankhurst and J. van Uffelen eds., Food Security, Safety Nets and Social Protection in Ethiopia. Forum for Social Studies, Ethiopia. ISBN: 9789994450473.